Derthona vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 2
DER
86%
11%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
ARC
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
INV
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
INV
3 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
INV
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |