Derthona vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PAV
7%
18%
75%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAR
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 2
OLG
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 3
CHI
16%
17%
67%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |