Derthona vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VFC
2 - 3
CHI
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOR
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VER
0 - 5
CHI
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
VAO
1 - 3
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |