Derthona vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DER
5 - 1
VFC
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VOG
3 - 3
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
74%
18%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
12%
21%
68%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
NOV
10%
17%
74%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAR
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |