Derthona vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARC
1 - 2
DER
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DER
1 - 0
FOS
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
VFC
0 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
PRO
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 2
ASD
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LAV
2 - 3
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
GOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 2
UNI
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
UNI
17%
19%
65%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |