Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SHR
2 - 1
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
LON
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOH
3 - 3
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
DRO
0 - 1
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
STP
0 - 1
SHR
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
STP
3 - 0
WEX
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SLR
2 - 0
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
STP
3 - 2
LON
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |