Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
LIM
41%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SLR
1 - 1
DER
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
GAL
2 - 0
DER
20%
22%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
FIN
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CAO
3 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
STP
0 - 3
CAO
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
STP
0 - 0
BRW
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 1
STP
28%
26%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
STP
0 - 2
LIM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
STP
1 - 0
BLU
91%
8%
2%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |