Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
STP
0 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
SLR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
BOH
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
FIN
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SHR
3 - 1
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SLR
2 - 3
SHR
14%
27%
59%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
SHR
3 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
WAT
0 - 2
SHR
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
SHR
6 - 0
CAO
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |