Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
GAL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -3 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
DER
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BOH
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 2
DER
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
SHR
3 - 2
LON
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
SHR
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SHR
1 - 0
DRO
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 1
SHR
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
BRW
0 - 3
SHR
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |