Derry City vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
SLR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
SHR
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
DER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LON
1 - 6
DER
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
DRO
0 - 3
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
DRO
4 - 2
UCD
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
SHR
3 - 1
DRO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
DRO
0 - 2
SHE
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
DRO
67%
18%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |