Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BLU
2 - 12
DER
4%
9%
87%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GAL
0 - 2
BOH
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
SHR
0 - 1
BOH
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
WEX
0 - 7
BOH
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
BOH
5 - 0
LIM
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOH
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |