Derio vs Ugeraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SDS
3 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
GAT
48%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
DER
41%
27%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
SOD
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
CDE
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SDU
3 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 1
SDU
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SDU
0 - 2
DEU
29%
28%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
SDU
74%
18%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
SDU
57%
23%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |