Derince Belediyespor vs Manisa FK analysis


36	ELO	48
-7.2%	Tilt	-17%
21470º	General ELO ranking	1223º
214º	Country ELO ranking	30º
ELO win probability

20.5%

Derince Belediyespor

23.5%

Draw

56%

Manisa FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

20.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%

23.5%

Draw

0-0

6.7%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

23.5%

56.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derince Belediyespor

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
05 Sep. 2015	SAK 0 - 0 DER 63% 21% 16%	34	38	4
30 Aug. 2015	DER 1 - 0 ZAR 65% 19% 16%	34	25	9
23 Aug. 2015	BOD 0 - 0 DER 75% 16% 8%	34	48	14
10 May. 2015	4EY 0 - 0 DER 60% 23% 17%	34	42	8
03 May. 2015	DER 3 - 0 CAN 81% 14% 6%	34	18	16