Derince Belediyespor vs Manisa FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAK
0 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
ZAR
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOD
0 - 0
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4EY
0 - 0
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
CAN
81%
14%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
OFS
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
YOM
0 - 0
MAN
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |