NI Third Division Round 25

Dergview FC vs Lisburn Distillery analysis

Dergview FC Lisburn Distillery
43 ELO 40
-10.1% Tilt 13.8%
6487º General ELO ranking 6486º
36º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Dergview FC
24.7%
Draw
36.4%
Lisburn Distillery

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-51%
-10%
Lisburn Distillery

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Lisburn Distillery
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 2
Dollingstown
DOL
13%
19%
68%
42 56 14 0
08 Mar. 2025
BAN
Banbridge Town
3 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
41%
24%
36%
43 43 0 -1
01 Mar. 2025
COA
Coagh United
4 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
32%
23%
45%
44 38 6 -1
14 Feb. 2025
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
6 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
47%
23%
30%
46 48 2 -2
11 Feb. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Banbridge Town
BAN
41%
24%
35%
45 44 1 +1

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
QUB
Queens University Belfast
3 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
73%
15%
11%
42 52 10 0
15 Mar. 2025
COA
Coagh United
3 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
39%
24%
38%
44 40 4 -2
01 Mar. 2025
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 2
Moyola Park
MOY
42%
24%
35%
44 45 1 0
22 Feb. 2025
BAN
Banbridge Town
1 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
46%
24%
31%
42 44 2 +2
08 Feb. 2025
TOB
Tobermore United
0 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
28%
21%
50%
42 35 7 0