Dergview FC vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
DER
1 - 2
DOL
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BAN
3 - 0
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COA
4 - 2
DER
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
RRF
6 - 0
DER
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
DER
1 - 0
BAN
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
QUB
3 - 0
LIS
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
COA
3 - 1
LIS
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LIS
2 - 2
MOY
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 2
LIS
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOB
0 - 0
LIS
25%
20%
55%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |