Northern Ireland Second Division Relegation Group Round 1

Dergview FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis

Dergview FC Harland & Wolff Welders
49 ELO 53
1.3% Tilt 9%
6118º General ELO ranking 2052º
35º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Dergview FC
25.1%
Draw
47.1%
Harland & Wolff Welders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.1%
Win probability
Harland & Wolff Welders
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-51%
+11%
Harland & Wolff Welders

Points and table prediction

Dergview FC
Their league position
Harland & Wolff Welders
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
52
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dergview FC
41
9
50.5%
Newington Youth
40
8
0%
Knockbreda
36
8
0%
Ballinamallard United
53
7
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
52
6
100%
Institute
36
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Dergview FC
Harland & Wolff Welders
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Harland & Wolff Welders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
3 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
64%
20%
17%
49 55 6 0
18 Mar. 2023
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 3
Dundela
DUN
30%
25%
45%
49 55 6 0
11 Mar. 2023
LOU
Loughgall
0 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
70%
18%
12%
48 62 14 +1
04 Mar. 2023
INS
Institute
2 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
41%
25%
34%
48 48 0 0
28 Feb. 2023
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
38%
24%
39%
47 48 1 +1

Matches

Harland & Wolff Welders
Harland & Wolff Welders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 0
Loughgall
LOU
29%
26%
45%
54 62 8 0
18 Mar. 2023
INS
Institute
0 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
27%
25%
48%
54 47 7 0
11 Mar. 2023
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
2 - 1
Dundela
DUN
41%
25%
35%
53 56 3 +1
07 Mar. 2023
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
33%
25%
42%
54 50 4 -1
03 Mar. 2023
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 1
Larne
LAR
15%
19%
66%
54 73 19 0