Northern Ireland Second Division Round 22

Dergview FC vs Ards FC analysis

Dergview FC Ards FC
46 ELO 57
4.6% Tilt -2.1%
6120º General ELO ranking 2555º
35º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Dergview FC
24.5%
Draw
51.1%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.1%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-51%
+11%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2015
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
52%
22%
26%
46 43 3 0
21 Feb. 2015
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 0
PS Northern Ireland
PSN
57%
22%
21%
45 41 4 +1
07 Feb. 2015
DON
Donegal Celtic
1 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
50%
23%
27%
45 43 2 0
17 Jan. 2015
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
71%
17%
12%
46 54 8 -1
27 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
2 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
53%
23%
24%
46 48 2 0

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2015
ARD
Ards FC
3 - 2
Carrick Rangers
CAR
46%
24%
30%
56 57 1 0
28 Feb. 2015
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 1
PS Northern Ireland
PSN
75%
16%
9%
55 40 15 +1
21 Feb. 2015
ARD
Ards FC
4 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
69%
18%
13%
54 45 9 +1
14 Feb. 2015
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
24%
22%
54%
55 41 14 -1
31 Jan. 2015
LAR
Larne
1 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
47%
24%
29%
53 52 1 +2