Northern Ireland Second Division Round 18

Dergview FC vs Ards FC analysis

Dergview FC Ards FC
49 ELO 52
23.7% Tilt 6.3%
6371º General ELO ranking 2547º
36º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Dergview FC
23.4%
Draw
22.2%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-52%
+23%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
4 - 1
Institute
INS
64%
19%
17%
50 46 4 0
12 Feb. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Banbridge Town
BAN
67%
18%
15%
50 44 6 0
05 Feb. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
6 - 1
Ballymoney United
BMF
57%
22%
22%
49 48 1 +1
15 Jan. 2011
BAN
Banbridge Town
1 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
47%
23%
30%
47 44 3 +2
01 Jan. 2011
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
57%
22%
21%
47 50 3 0

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2011
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 2
Ballinamallard United
BAL
43%
26%
31%
52 56 4 0
19 Feb. 2011
BAN
Banbridge Town
0 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
37%
26%
38%
52 43 9 0
15 Feb. 2011
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
48%
24%
27%
52 52 0 0
12 Feb. 2011
INS
Institute
2 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
33%
28%
39%
53 47 6 -1
01 Feb. 2011
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
49%
24%
27%
54 55 1 -1