Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 11

Dereham Town vs Wroxham analysis

Dereham Town Wroxham
38 ELO 33
0.9% Tilt 3%
11034º General ELO ranking 10142º
605º Country ELO ranking 515º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Dereham Town
21.3%
Draw
27%
Wroxham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Dereham Town
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
27%
Win probability
Wroxham
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dereham Town
-11%
-13%
Wroxham

ELO progression

Dereham Town
Wroxham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dereham Town
Dereham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2014
DER
Dereham Town
3 - 1
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
71%
17%
13%
36 25 11 0
01 Nov. 2014
DER
Dereham Town
1 - 0
Enfield Town
ENF
37%
23%
40%
35 38 3 +1
25 Oct. 2014
DER
Dereham Town
1 - 4
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
77%
14%
9%
36 21 15 -1
18 Oct. 2014
DER
Dereham Town
2 - 1
Hanwell Town
HAN
51%
22%
27%
35 32 3 +1
14 Oct. 2014
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
2 - 4
Dereham Town
DER
57%
20%
22%
33 36 3 +2

Matches

Wroxham
Wroxham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2014
AVE
Aveley
0 - 5
Wroxham
WRO
51%
22%
26%
31 33 2 0
28 Oct. 2014
WRO
Wroxham
3 - 0
Thamesmead Town FC
THA
42%
23%
36%
30 34 4 +1
25 Oct. 2014
CHA
Chatham Town
2 - 3
Wroxham
WRO
44%
24%
32%
29 29 0 +1
21 Oct. 2014
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
0 - 4
Wroxham
WRO
31%
23%
46%
28 22 6 +1
18 Oct. 2014
HAR
Harlow Town
5 - 2
Wroxham
WRO
65%
20%
16%
28 40 12 0