Dereham Town vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
HUL
3 - 0
DER
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 2
DER
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
5 - 1
YEL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
DER
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 0
DER
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TIL
3 - 0
ROM
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
TIL
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 4
STO
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
4 - 1
TIL
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 1
AVE
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |