Dereham Town vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
ENF
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DER
1 - 4
GRE
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
HAN
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 4
DER
57%
20%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
THA
0 - 2
DER
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
THU
1 - 1
MAL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 1
AVE
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NEE
4 - 2
MAL
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HYT
3 - 0
MAL
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |