Dereham Town vs Erith & Belvedere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 4
DER
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
RED
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 3
DER
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
DER
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ERI
0 - 2
HAR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 2
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ERI
2 - 6
WAR
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
ERI
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
ERI
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |