Derby County Sub 23 vs West Ham Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
DER
2 - 3
LUS
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
DER
0 - 2
BHA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 3
DER
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 6
MUN
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
West Ham Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 2
WHU
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BHA
4 - 2
WHU
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
WHU
6 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 2
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |