Derby County Sub 23 vs Man. City Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DER
0 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
DER
3 - 1
CHE
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 5
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
MCI
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 1
MUN
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 5
MCI
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
BHA
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 0
MCI
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |