Derby County Sub 23 vs Man. City Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
DER
3 - 5
BLA
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
BHA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
WHU
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 2
MCI
37%
23%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 1
BHA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 7
MCI
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 2
CHE
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
5 - 2
MCI
18%
20%
62%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |