Derby County U23 vs Chelsea U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 5
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
MUN
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
DER
6 - 0
BLA
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 3
CPA
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
BHA
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 3
CHE
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 2
CPA
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHE
30%
24%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |