Premier League 2 Division One . Jor. 16

Derby County Sub 23 vs Chelsea Sub 23 analysis

Derby County Sub 23 Chelsea Sub 23
45 ELO 46
-4.6% Tilt 7.7%
38366º General ELO ranking 38363º
1238º Country ELO ranking 1235º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Derby County Sub 23
24%
Draw
30.9%
Chelsea Sub 23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Derby County Sub 23
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
Chelsea Sub 23
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derby County Sub 23
-38%
-30%
Chelsea Sub 23

ELO progression

Derby County Sub 23
Chelsea Sub 23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derby County Sub 23
Derby County Sub 23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2019
BLA
Blackburn Rovers Sub 23
1 - 3
Derby County Sub 23
DER
45%
24%
31%
45 45 0 0
07 Jan. 2019
DER
Derby County Sub 23
1 - 5
Swansea Sub 23
SWA
53%
23%
24%
46 43 3 -1
16 Dec. 2018
EVE
Everton Sub 23
1 - 0
Derby County Sub 23
DER
50%
25%
26%
47 50 3 -1
07 Dec. 2018
DER
Derby County Sub 23
0 - 1
Man. City Sub 23
MCI
37%
25%
38%
48 49 1 -1
26 Nov. 2018
DER
Derby County Sub 23
5 - 0
Arsenal Sub 23
ARS
32%
26%
42%
46 50 4 +2

Matches

Chelsea Sub 23
Chelsea Sub 23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2019
EVE
Everton Sub 23
2 - 0
Chelsea Sub 23
CHE
52%
23%
25%
47 49 2 0
05 Jan. 2019
CHE
Chelsea Sub 23
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers Sub 23
BLA
57%
21%
21%
47 44 3 0
17 Dec. 2018
LEI
Leicester Sub 23
2 - 1
Chelsea Sub 23
CHE
48%
25%
27%
48 49 1 -1
07 Dec. 2018
CHE
Chelsea Sub 23
3 - 2
West Ham Sub 23
WHU
64%
20%
16%
48 42 6 0
23 Nov. 2018
CHE
Chelsea Sub 23
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur Sub 23
TOT
60%
21%
19%
48 43 5 0
X