Derby County U18 vs Newcastle U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
6º
22
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DER
4 - 2
LEE
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 3
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
MAN
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DER
3 - 3
EVE
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BLA
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 6
NEW
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
NEW
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 4
LEE
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |