Derby County U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DER
0 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STO
3 - 3
DER
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DER
4 - 3
MID
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
5 - 2
DER
9%
16%
76%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
MCI
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 2
WOL
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
EVE
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
18%
20%
63%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
5 - 0
BLA
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOL
4 - 0
LIV
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |