Derby County U18 vs Leeds United U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BLA
3 - 0
DER
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
4 - 3
DER
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STO
2 - 3
DER
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
DER
3 - 3
MCI
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Leeds United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
4 - 3
STO
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 6
LIV
10%
15%
76%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
4 - 3
DER
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MCI
5 - 1
LEE
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 3
BUR
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |