Derby County vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
DER
3 - 2
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
BAR
0 - 1
DER
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
TRA
2 - 1
WAT
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
MID
0 - 0
TRA
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
TRA
1 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
TRA
0 - 1
CRY
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
LUT
0 - 1
TRA
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |