Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
DER
1 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 3
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
DER
0 - 1
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
DER
3 - 1
SWA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
DER
0 - 5
SUN
44%
25%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
TOT
3 - 1
CRE
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
TOT
2 - 3
LEI
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
ZIM
0 - 0
TOT
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
WIM
1 - 1
TOT
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
TOT
3 - 2
COV
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |