Derby County vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
SHE
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 3
DER
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
DER
1 - 3
LEE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
REA
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
TOT
4 - 1
REA
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
REA
1 - 4
SWA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |