Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
BBU
3 - 1
DER
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 0
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LUT
4 - 0
PNE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
PNE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PNE
2 - 1
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
PNE
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
PNE
0 - 0
NTT
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |