Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
BUR
2 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
BAR
2 - 4
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
DER
0 - 1
FUL
68%
17%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
DER
4 - 0
LIN
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 2
DER
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
OLD
3 - 0
HUL
53%
21%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BRA
1 - 0
OLD
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
OLD
2 - 1
WBA
34%
23%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
STO
1 - 3
OLD
78%
12%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |