Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 1
DER
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
SHE
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HUL
0 - 1
PNE
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HUL
2 - 0
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
HUL
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
HUL
2 - 0
BBU
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
HUL
0 - 2
STO
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |