Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 1
DIR
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
JUM
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
JAP
3 - 0
WAL
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 1
JUV
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
6 - 0
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 1
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 1
REA
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
MAN
33%
25%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |