Dep. Santamarina vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOR
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 0
RSA
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
ALM
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
RSA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
STM
0 - 1
SUA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
DAL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 0
SUA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
BRO
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |