Dep. Roca vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
DRO
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
DRO
3 - 1
CIP
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
DRO
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DRO
1 - 1
ALV
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DRO
2 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
4 - 0
FER
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIV
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
CIP
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RIV
6 - 0
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ALV
2 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |