Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
7º
44
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
2DE
0 - 4
CDR
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
CDR
3 - 1
JLM
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDR
1 - 1
OLI
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
SPT
1 - 1
CDR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
CDR
0 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 1
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |