Dep. Quito vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
BOC
4 - 0
QUI
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
STR
2 - 2
QUI
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
QUI
1 - 2
BOC
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 2
PEÑ
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |