Dep. Quito vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
4 - 4
QUI
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
5 - 0
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
BSC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
4 - 4
QUI
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
1 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
OLM
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 0
OLM
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |