Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
OLM
0 - 1
QUI
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 1
UCE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
DPT
0 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 2
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 0
DPT
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
TEC
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 0
MAC
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |