Dep. Quito vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 0
CUE
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 0
EME
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LDU
0 - 2
AUC
49%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 0
EME
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 2
AUC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |