Dep. Paraguayo vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
YUP
1 - 1
DPA
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
LUG
32%
27%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
DPA
70%
20%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SBA
3 - 3
DPA
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 0
CES
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 2
CAA
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
SMG
28%
30%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
SMG
0 - 1
CLA
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
RIE
2 - 1
SMG
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |