Dep. Paraguayo vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
DPA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 3
ARR
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
DPA
43%
27%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 2
DPA
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
DPA
2 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 3
MUÑ
48%
27%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 1
ITU
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
YUP
51%
26%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 1
ITU
34%
28%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |