Nueva Esparta FC vs Atlético La Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
15º
14º
13
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Esparta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AIF
1 - 1
DNE
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DNE
1 - 0
AAF
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DPU
2 - 0
DNE
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
DNE
0 - 0
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DNE
2 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético La Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 2
AAF
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
DPU
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BSC
5 - 1
ALC
45%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
ALC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
MIR
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |