Deportivo Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 0
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
MUN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 1
PAC
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DEF
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
AUN
5 - 1
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
LOS
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |