Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
TEM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 2
MOR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
UAI
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
34%
30%
37%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 1
FEN
34%
30%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEF
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |