Deportivo Miranda vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 0
ARA
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
MIR
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 4
LAR
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ZUL
0 - 1
MIR
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 0
TAC
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 3
LOT
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EST
0 - 5
DEP
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
MIN
29%
28%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |