Deportivo Merlo vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
TIG
16%
23%
62%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
DES
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MER
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
PAT
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
IRV
2 - 1
GLP
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
ALM
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
GLP
41%
30%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GLP
3 - 2
GBR
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |